The synchronicity effect between the financial market and online response for time-series forecasting is an important task with wide applications. This study combines data from the Baidu index (BDI), Google trends (GT), and transfer entropy (TE) to forecast a wide range of futures prices with a...

In this paper, we apply machine learning to forecast the conditional variance of long-term stock returns measured in excess of different benchmarks, considering the short- and long-term interest rate, the earnings-by-price ratio, and the inflation rate. In particular, we apply in a two-step...