Higgins, Patrick; Zha, Tao; Zhong, Karen - 2016
rigorous and systematic research in the evaluation of out-of-sample modelbased forecasts of China's real gross domestic product …-run forecast horizons. The model is shown to be capable of predicting turning points and usable for policy analysis under different … scenarios. It predicts that China's future GDP growth will be of an L-shape rather than a U-shape. …