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An imperfect crystal ball
Emmons, William R.
;
Yeager, Timothy J.
- In:
The Regional Economist
(
2002
)
Jan.
,
pp. 10-11
The futures market is not a perfect crystal ball. In some cases, it accurately forecasts what spot prices will be in the future. But not always.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717667
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2
Expectations and fundamentals
Emmons, William R.
- In:
Monetary Trends
(
2001
)
Jul
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514773
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3
What are the odds? option-based forecasts of FOMC target changes
Emmons, William R.
;
Lakdawala, Aeimit K.
;
Neely, …
- In:
Review
(
2006
)
Nov
,
pp. 543-562
This article uses probability forecasts derived from options to assess evolving market uncertainty about Federal Reserve monetary policy actions in a variety of recent events and episodes. Options on federal funds futures contracts reveal a complete probability density function over possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005519630
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