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the empirical application we specify and estimate a FaMIDAS to forecast Italian quarterly GDP. The short-term forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462015
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998848
in its ability to accurately capture clusters and preserve or enhance forecasting accuracy. For a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427178
in its ability to accurately capture clusters and preserve or enhance forecasting accuracy. For a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315409
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses all relevant information, is available in real time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation measures such as core inflation measures. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340981
information. Finally, when forecasting the headline CPI, our UIG for China outperforms traditional core measures over different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420978
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses all relevant information, is available in real time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation measures such as core inflation measures. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404156
information. Finally, when forecasting the headline CPI, our UIG for China outperforms traditional core measures over different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412468
for forecasting business cycle turning points. When we allow for asymmetry in the long-run volatility component, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325644
forecasting performance, the proposed factor model of the yield curve exhibits substantial incremental predictive value. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005105704