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This paper considers inflation forecasting for a vast panel of countries. We combine the information from common … factors driving global inflation as well as country-specific inflation in order to build a set of different models. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081711
revisions implied by this model are then tested using inflation forecast updates of professional forecasters from recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941880
The concept of cointegration (see e.g., Engle and Granger, 1987; Johansen, 1988) has extensively been used to model equilibrium relationships (see e.g., Johansen and Juselius, 1990; Ericsson, 1998). The links between economic and econometric concepts are now well understood and they have become part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001883242
Credence goods markets are characterized by asymmetric information concerning the needed and/or provided quality between experts and consumers. The functioning of the market heavily relies on trust on the side of the consumer as well as trustworthiness on the side of the expert. However, a great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015185100
We study the role of reciprocity in markets for credence goods where expert-sellers have more information about the severity of a problem faced by a consumer. We employ a standard experimental credence goods market to introduce the possibility for consumers to gift expert-sellers before they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261269
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014454427
It is widely accepted that aggregate housing prices are predictable, but that excess returns to investors are precluded by the transactions costs of buying and selling property. We examine this issue using a unique data set - all private condominium transactions in Singapore during an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147981
This paper uses monthly survey data for the G7 countries for the time period 1989 - 2007 to explore the link between expectations on nominal wages, prices and unemployment rate as suggested by the traditional and Samuelson-and-Solow-type Phillips curve. Three major findings stand out: First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003735112
This chapter surveys empirical models of market structure. We pay particular attention to equilibrium models that interpret cross-sectional variation in the number of firms or firm turnover rates. We begin by discussing what economists can in principle learn from models with homogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024587