Recent food shortages in Southern Africa, induced by rainfall variability but compounded by problems of governance and rising food prices, have resulted in massive relief efforts. A recent scientific innovation - supplying farmers with seasonal climate forecasts - has been touted as a way to...

How jobseekers set their earnings expectations is central to job search models. To study this process, we track the evolution of own-earnings forecasts over 18 months for a representative panel of university-leavers in Mozambique and estimate the impact of a wage information intervention. We...

In the past two decades increasing computational power resulted in the development of more advanced claims reserving techniques, allowing the stochastic branch to overcome the deterministic methods, resulting in forecasts of enhanced quality. Hence, not only point estimates, but predictive...