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We contrast two different asset pricing models, where the pricing kernel either (i) increases in the volatility dimension, reflecting investors' aversion to volatility, or (ii) could be non-monotonic in volatility, reflecting heterogeneity in investors' beliefs. The two models yield opposite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115088
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
We model the S&P500 index options dynamics using the CGMY distribution, with independent "up" and "down" return jumps, and diffusive jump intensities. Allowing the up and down parts to be separately parameterised accounts for the dynamic smirk effect, without correlation between returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837432
Market index and individual stock returns exhibit jumps in addition to normal shocks. Equities have exposure to the market and sensitivity to the market is important for explaining equity returns and option prices. I develop a new factor model that explores (i) if a separate beta for market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936701
We use simultaneous data from equity, index and option markets in order to estimate a single-factor market model in which idiosyncratic volatility is allowed to be priced. We model the index dynamics' physical distribution as a mean-reverting stochastic volatility process as in Heston (1993),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056816
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
Variance premium is studied under a discrete-time consumption-based equilibrium model, with two stochastic volatility factors. The formulas for VIX and variance premium term structure are derived. As an empirical application of the model, the predicion power of VIX and variance premium term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079942
We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
This paper expands on a procedure to arbitrage mispriced assets against the benchmark provided by the Security Market … least total risk among other alternative portfolios. Coming next, such arbitrage is dealt directly with one single … separation portfolio, which grants that the total risk linked with the arbitrage portfolio equals the non-systematic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159871
We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it predicts stock returns and it subsumes the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932555