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Economic theory asserts that, in general, the only cases going to trial should be cases with unpredictable outcomes … cases before trial. I test this theory using a dataset of decisions from the U.S. Courts of Appeals over a six-year period …
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Researchers who study crime and justice have been forecasting a variety of outcomes for nearly a century. Perhaps the most well known are forecasts of behavior after release from prison. Other examples include forecasts of prison populations and time trends in crime. However, it is very...
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