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Evolutionary selection of forecasting and quantity decision rules in experimental asset markets
Zhu, Jiahua; Te, Bao; Chia, Wai-mun - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007795
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Limitations of social forecasting
Lehmann-Waffenschmidt, Marco - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000923155
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Zeitreihenanalyse- und prognose in den Sozialwissenschaften
Kalb-Schmerling, Uwe - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000799531
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Futures research quarterly
World Future Society - 1985-2008: Bethesda, Md. : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] - 1.1985 - 24.2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000426849
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Big data is a big deal but how much data do we need?
Askitas, Nikos - 2016
The more conservative among us believe that "Big Data is a fad that will soon fade out" and they may in fact be partially right. By contrast, others - especially those who dispassionately note that digitization is only now beginning to deliver its payload - may beg to differ. We argue that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011486497
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Predicting the Irish "gay marriage" referendum
Askitas, Nikos - 2015
On February 20 2015 Irish Premier Enda Kenny confirmed that a "yes-no" referendum on same sex marriage would be held on May 22 of the same year. A yes vote would legalise same sex marriage in Ireland. As the Irish premier put it, the vote was about "tolerance, respect and sensitivity". The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407829
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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998
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Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
laboratory experiment in which the participants act as forecasters and are asked to predict the next realisation of iid random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999
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Time series properties of an artificial stock market
Arthur, W. Brian; LeBaron, Blake Dean; Palmer, Richard - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000978975
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625