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Systemic bias of IMF reserve and debt forecasts for program countries

Eicher, Theo S.; Kawai, Reina - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 3, pp. 985-1001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547232

Essays on inflation forecast-based rules, robust policies and sovereign debt

Rodriguez, Arnulfo - 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550199

A mathematical model for predicting debt repayment : a technical note

Wijewardhana, Udani A. - In: Australasian accounting business and finance journal : AABF 12 (2018) 3, pp. 107-115

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The predictability of debt-servicing difficulties among less developed countries

Somerville, R. A. - In: Review of quantitative finance and accounting 4 (1994) 4, pp. 339-356

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External shocks and debt accumulation in a small open economy

Senhadji-Semlali, Abdel - In: Review of economic dynamics 6 (2003) 1, pp. 207-239

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Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises

Schimmelpfennig, Axel - 2003

We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor''s, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...