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Using the Box-Jenkins approach to forecast inflation in the small open economy, we find that ARIMA can partly show dynamics of the country's CPI. Remarkably, the index in the present month suffers much the inertia of the previous month's and corrects substantially compared to that of 3 months ago
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In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … strategies. The process is applied to both monthly and quarterly data from Vietnam for the period from 2000 through the first …
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Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the link between the rate of labor participation and real...
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