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fertility rate and number of births, period life expectancy at birth and number of deaths, as well as net international … migration. While fertility proved to be the most difficult component to project during the post-war period, net international … Norway, at least until very recently. Fertility, on the other hand, has continued to be overprojected since observed …
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Based on the Lee-Carter (LC) model, the benchmark in population forecasting, a variety of extensions and modifications are proposed in this paper. We investigate one of the extensions, the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) method and apply it to Asian demographic data sets: China, Japan and Taiwan. It combines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477583
consider changes in the correlation of the age-specific fertility forecast error increments across time and age, and changes in … the correlation of the age-specific mortality forecast error increments across time, age and sex. Next we analyse the … impact of such changes on the forecasts of the Total Fertility Rate and of the Male and Female Life Expectancies respectively …
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prevailing low German fertility rates, it is evident that these could be decisively higher if people had higher incomes and …
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