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Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys During the Great Recession : Evidence for Russia
Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2013
growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the … recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090690
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Transformation of the strategy of state economic policy in modern conditions
Petrunenko, Iaroslav; Podtserkovnyi, Oleg - In: Baltic Journal of Economic Studies 6 (2020) 3, pp. 107-113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291089
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2016-2017 Forecast : Russia's Recession Continues
Drobyshevsky, Sergey - 2016
Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give … grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil … prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the baseline scenario, whereas $50 a barrel is considered optimistic (Russia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998564
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The global economic crisis reflected in the statistical forecasts
Ionescu, Victor-Romeo - In: EuroEconomica 39 (2020) 3, pp. 162-170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613298
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Using payments data to nowcast macroeconomic variables during the onset of Covid-19
Chapman, James; Desai, Ajit - In: The journal of financial market infrastructures 9 (2020) 1, pp. 1-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012662490
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Macrostructural analysis and forecasting in modern conditions of economic development
Širov, Aleksandr A. - In: Studies on Russian economic development 33 (2022) 5, pp. 495-505
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460071
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Forecasting performance of three automated modelling techniques during the economic crisis 2007 - 2009
Bredahl Kock, Anders; Teräsvirta, Timo - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009267761
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Macroeconomic uncertainty through the lens of professional forecasters
Jo, Soojin; Sekkel, Rodrigo - 2016
We analyze the evolution of macroeconomic uncertainty in the United States, based on the forecast errors of consensus survey forecasts of different economic indicators. Comprehensive information contained in the survey forecasts enables us to capture a realtime subjective measure of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433209
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The 2007 - 2008 US recession : what did the real-time google trends data tell the United States?
Chen, Tao; So, Erin Pik Ki; Wu, Liang; Yan, Isabel K. M. - In: Contemporary economic policy : a journal of Western … 33 (2015) 2, pp. 395-403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011338828
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Forecasting the downturn of the Great Recession
Stekler, Herman O.; Talwar, Raj M. - In: Business economics : the journal of the National … 48 (2013) 2, pp. 113-120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775537