Process and Politics of Generating Budget Forecast Errors -- Ch03. Inter-Temporal Variation, Fiscal Uncertainty, and State … Consequences of Budget Forecast Errors -- Ch08. Budget Forecasting in the States-Reforms, Institutions, Politics, and Uncertainty …Michael J. Brogan's Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States: Precision, Uncertainty, and Politics examines …

meet. It examines the relation between the strength of the management revenue forecast argument and three outcomes, 1) ex … post forecast accuracy, 2) the incidence of analyst revisions, and 3) the rate of convergence in analyst estimates …. Forecast arguments are deemed strong if the forecast claim and the supporting data are comparatively precise. Using a sample of …