Measuring and displaying uncertainty around path-forecasts, i.e. forecasts made in period T about the expected trajectory of a random variable in periods T+1 to T+H is a key ingredient for decision making under uncertainty. The probabilistic assessment about the set of possible trajectories that...

Research in combining of economic forecasts made by several research institutes on the same economic variable has focused on estimation, hoping that the combined forecast will be improved by taking into account the expert opinions of the institutes. We provide a confidence interval on the...