The use of futures prices to predict commodity cash prices is important both to practitioners and researchers yet the literature provides conflicting results on the ability of futures prices to predict cash prices. Brenner and Kroner [Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 30 (1995) 23]...

This paper analyses the validity of the weak-form market efficiency, using the random-walk hypothesis for the six industrial base metals - copper, aluminium, zinc, nickel, tin and lead - traded at the London Metal Exchange. I analyse the behaviour of daily and weekly prices of the daily rolling...