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Equationless and equation-based trend models of prohibitively complex technological and related forecasts
Dohnal, Mirko; Doubravsky, Karel - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 111 (2016), pp. 297-304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611967
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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998
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Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
laboratory experiment in which the participants act as forecasters and are asked to predict the next realisation of iid random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999
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Option fund market dynamics for threshold public goods
Dragicevic, Arnaud Z. - In: Dynamic games and applications : DGA 7 (2017) 1, pp. 21-33
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804903
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The future with microelectronics : forecasting the effects of information technology
Barron, Iann; Curnow, Ray - 1979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000013660
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Forecasting second births among Russian women : sociological and statistical approaches
Shubat, Oksana Mikhailovna; Bagirova, Anna Petrovna - In: Studies on Russian economic development : the official … 25 (2014) 3, pp. 312-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010376575
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Predictive behavior : an experimental study
Brennscheidt, Gunnar - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000877906
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Time series properties of an artificial stock market
Arthur, W. Brian; LeBaron, Blake Dean; Palmer, Richard - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000978975
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The use of credible intervals in temperature forecasting : some experimental results
Murphy, Allan H.; Winkler, Robert L. - 1975
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000677262
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The predictive power of the self explicated approach and the analytic hierarchy process : a comparison
Huizingh, Eelko - In: Multiple criteria decision making : proceedings of the …, (pp. 137-146). 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001320340