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This paper studies the signalling effect of the consumption-wealth ratio (cay) on German stock returns via vector error … wealth growth and U.S. income growth significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002633392
This paper studies the signalling effect of the consumption-wealth ratio (cay) on German stock returns via vector error … is used, cay has no significant effect on German stock returns. Besides, it is also found that cay signals German wealth …
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This study uses Markov-switching models to evaluate the informational content of the term structure as a predictor of recessions in eight OECD countries. The empirical results suggest that for all countries the term spread is sensibly modelled as a two-state regime-switching process. Moreover,...
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