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"Passauer Wahlbörse": information processing in a political market experiment
Beckmann, Klaus - In: Kyklos : international review for social sciences 49 (1996) 2, pp. 171-204
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001200534
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Improving decisions with market information : an experiment on corporate prediction markets
Dianat, Ahrash; Siemroth, Christoph - In: Experimental economics : a journal of the Economic … 24 (2021) 1, pp. 143-176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487741
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The well-meaning economist
Gorajek, Adam - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262771
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On the exact solution of the multi-period portfolio choice problem for an exponential utility under return predictability
Bodnar, Taras; Parolya, Nestor; Schmid, Wolfgang - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 246 (2015) 2, pp. 528-542
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011338116
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What do prediction markets predict?
Fountain, John; Harrison, Glenn W. - In: Applied economics letters 18 (2011) 1/3, pp. 267-272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009230964
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Forecasting security returns : the use of heterogeneous expectations
Abraham, Rebecca; Harrington, Charles W. - In: Advances in business and management forecasting 4 (2006), pp. 93-115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751340
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Forecast evaluation in the presence of unobserved volatility
Christodoulakis, George A.; Satchell, Stephen - In: Econometric reviews 23 (2004) 3, pp. 175-198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002263007
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Counterfactuals with Latent Information
Bergemann, Dirk - 2019
We describe a methodology for making counterfactual predictions when the information held by strategic agents is a latent parameter. The analyst observes behavior which is rationalized by a Bayesian model in which agents maximize expected utility, given partial and differential information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892592
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Counterfactuals with Latent Information
Bergemann, Dirk - 2019
We describe a methodology for making counterfactual predictions when the information held by strategic agents is a latent parameter. The analyst observes behavior which is rationalized by a Bayesian model in which agents maximize expected utility given partial and differential information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893994
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Counterfactuals with latent information
Bergemann, Dirk; Brooks, Ben; Morris, Stephen - In: American economic review 112 (2022) 1, pp. 343-368
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799571