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Weekends and holidays lead to gaps in daily financial data. Standard models ignore these irregularities. Because this issue is particularly important for persistent time series, we focus on volatility modelling, specifically modelling of realized volatility. We suggest a simple way of adjusting...
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amount of years to use in the estimation and which variation of the capital asset pricing beta provides the best results …-post constant beta is mispriced by 0.2 (developing) to 0.3 percent (developed). It is better to use short three-year estimation … windows with the market beta in developing economies and longer nine-year estimation windows with the adjusted beta in …
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amount of years to use in the estimation and which variation of the capital asset pricing beta provides the best results … estimation windows with the market beta in developing economies and longer nine year estimation windows with the adjusted beta in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907773
In this paper, we empirically investigate the link between forecasts transparency and macroeconomic volatility as measured by inflation and output growth volatility in developing economies. We adopt the quasi-random controlled experiments methodology that divides our sample of 49 developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057552
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing countries. An emerging consensus in the recent literature focusing on industrialized countries has noted the superior performance of the Fractionally Integrated Generalized...
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