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This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity to build times-series components that capture the...
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Predictive AI is increasingly used to guide decisions on agents. I show that even a bias-neutral predictive AI can … potentially amplify exogenous (human) bias in settings where the predictive AI represents a cost-adjusted precision gain to … belief updating, expected victims of bias become less likely to be saved by randomness under more precise predictions. An …
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