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Probabilistic Prediction for Binary Treatment Choice : with Focus on Personalized Medicine

Manski, Charles F. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum … in indirect ways, the former applying classical statistical theory and the latter measuring prediction accuracy in test … samples. Neither approach is satisfactory. Statistical decision theory provides a coherent, generally applicable methodology …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660036

Model selection in utility-maximizing binary prediction

Su, Jiun-Hua - In: Journal of econometrics 223 (2021) 1, pp. 96-124

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619962

Probabilistic prediction for binary treatment choice : with focus on personalized medicine

Manski, Charles F. - In: Journal of econometrics 234 (2023) 2, pp. 647-663

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434356

Portfolio turnover when IC is time-varying

Ding, Zhuanxin; Martin, R. Douglas; Yang, Chaojun - In: The journal of asset management 21 (2020) 7, pp. 609-622

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421074

Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models

Url, Thomas; Hyndman, Rob J.; Dokumentov, Alexander - 2016

Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495122

Forecasting labour supply and population : an integrated stochastic model

Fuchs, Johann; Söhnlein, Doris; Weber, Brigitte; … - 2017 - Aktualisierte Fassung vom 17. Mai 2017

This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534