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New strategies to improve the accuracy of predictions based on Monte Carlo and bootstrap simulations : an application to Bulgarian and Romanian inflation

Bratu, Mihaela - In: Revista de métodos cuantitativos para la economía y … 18 (2014), pp. 112-129

for Romania and ARMA(1,1) models for Bulgaria could be substantially improved by gener- ating new predictions using Monte … forecasting made for Romania and the forecasts of the European Commission made for Bulgaria. Our own method based on the lower …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506046

Short-term forecasting of Bulgarian GDP using a generalized dynamic factor model

Rogleva, Petra - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383765

Information or Institution? On the Determinants of Forecast Accuracy

Doehrn, Roland - 2010

The accuracy of macroeconomic forecast depends on various factors, most importantly the mix of analytical methods used by the individual forecasters, the way that their personal experience is shaping their identification strategies, but also their efficiency in translating new information into...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136127