In our study, we individually forecast 26 metal prices one-month ahead and outperform the predefined benchmark model, a random-walk (with drift) in 18 (18) cases. These forecasts are based on an overview over a large set of potential predictors for mineral commodities, originating from studies...

The prevalence of energy poverty as a major challenge in numerous countries, the escalating energy crisis that generates supply fears and increased prices, and the need to build just supporting mechanisms within the net zero energy transition add impetus to improving our ability to accurately...