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An empirical evaluation of the toolbox model of lottery choices
Stahl, Dale O. - In: The review of economics and statistics 100 (2018) 3, pp. 528-534
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882132
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Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs
He, Xue-zhong; Treich, Nicolas - In: Journal of mathematical economics 70 (2017), pp. 105-114
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011828937
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Overconfidence bias and conjunction fallacy in predicting outcomes of football matches
Erceg, Nikola; Galić, Zvonimir - In: Journal of economic psychology : research in economic … 42 (2014), pp. 52-62
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428829
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How well can experts predict farmers' choices in risky gambles?
Schaak, Henning; Rommel, Jens; Sagebiel, Julian; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305725
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The well-meaning economist
Gorajek, Adam - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262771
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On the exact solution of the multi-period portfolio choice problem for an exponential utility under return predictability
Bodnar, Taras; Parolya, Nestor; Schmid, Wolfgang - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 246 (2015) 2, pp. 528-542
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011338116
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What do prediction markets predict?
Fountain, John; Harrison, Glenn W. - In: Applied economics letters 18 (2011) 1/3, pp. 267-272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009230964
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Forecasting security returns : the use of heterogeneous expectations
Abraham, Rebecca; Harrington, Charles W. - In: Advances in business and management forecasting 4 (2006), pp. 93-115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751340
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Forecast evaluation in the presence of unobserved volatility
Christodoulakis, George A.; Satchell, Stephen - In: Econometric reviews 23 (2004) 3, pp. 175-198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002263007
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Counterfactuals with Latent Information
Bergemann, Dirk - 2019
We describe a methodology for making counterfactual predictions when the information held by strategic agents is a latent parameter. The analyst observes behavior which is rationalized by a Bayesian model in which agents maximize expected utility, given partial and differential information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892592