an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, applied to Italy, Russia, and the USA The analysis is ….worldometers.info/coronavirus/). The best ARIMA models were Italy (4,2,4), Russia (1,2,1), and the USA (6,2,3). The results showed that: i) ARIMA models … are reliable enough when new daily cases begin to stabilize; ii) Italy, the USA, and Russia reached the peak of COVID-19 …