efficiency of investment forecasts. …

number of employees to the number of people. Secondly, the authors repeal the assumption of a fixed investment rate by taking … into account the trend of changes in investment rates (a growing or declining trend). The theoretical model obtained was … subjected to calibration and then numerical simulations were carried out. It was assumed that investment rates in the Polish …

We propose a simple model where the innovation rate of a technological domain depends on the innovation rate of the … predictability of innovation rates can be boosted substantially when network effects are taken into account. In the case where a … technology's neighbourhood further innovation rates are known, the average predictability gain is 28% compared to simpler time …

We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …

persistent decline in investment. Moreover, the territorial dispute has led to persistent pessimism in these firms' expectations … about future sales, which can explain 60% of the overall decline in investment. …

We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …

. Moreover, micro-founded variables are scarcely employed in macroeconomic forecasting of real investment. We fill this gap by … considering a battery of univariate and multivariate time-series models to forecast investment of non-financial corporations in …

We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …