Survey data of forecasts of the housing market may provide a particularly rich data nvironment for researchers and policymakers to study developments in housing markets. Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125, 2005), we studied the properties of a large...

This paper presents a forecasting model of the net partisan seat swing in U.S. House elections. The model uses the district ratings of the Cook Political Report to constructs an index of the net number of seats "in trouble" for the parties. That along with either the party's initial number of...