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extreme value theory. The out-of-sample forecasting performance of our methods turns out to be clearly superior to different … management ; extreme value theory ; monotonization ; CAViaR …
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Nonparametric prediction of time series is a viable alternative to parametric prediction, since parametric prediction relies on the correct specification of the process, its order and the distribution of the innovations. Often these are not known and have to be estimated from the data. Another...
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