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Die Kombination von Prognosen unter Berücksichtigung statistischer Bewertungskriterien
Wenzel, Thomas - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001563524
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The present value model with time-varying discount rates : implications for commercial property valuation and investment decisions
Geltner, David - In: The journal of real estate finance and economics 11 (1995) 2, pp. 119-135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001189284
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Forecasting hypothetical bias : a tale of two calibrations
Norwood, F. Bailey; Lusk, Jayson L.; Boyer, Tracy - In: Environmental economics, experimental methods, (pp. 447-465). 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003647713
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Predicting versus testing : a conditional cross-forecasting accuracy measure for hypothetical bias
Volinskiy, Dmitriy; Adamowicz, Wiktor; Veeman, Michele M. - In: The Australian journal of agricultural and resource … 55 (2011) 3, pp. 429-450
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009376110
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Overconfidence bias and conjunction fallacy in predicting outcomes of football matches
Erceg, Nikola; Galić, Zvonimir - In: Journal of economic psychology : research in economic … 42 (2014), pp. 52-62
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428829
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Can Anchoring Explain Biased Forecasts? Experimental Evidence
Meub, Lukas - 2015
forecasting experiment, we find monetary incentives to substantially reduce and higher task complexity and risk to increase the … bias. Anchors ubiquitously reduce the forecasts' variance, while individual cognitive abilities and learning effects show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035246
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Longshots, overconfidence and efficiency on the Iowa Electronic Market
Berg, Joyce E.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 1, pp. 271-287
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300620
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Better calibration when predicting from experience (rather than description)
Camilleri, Adrian R.; Newell, Benjamin R. - In: Organizational behavior and human decision processes : … 150 (2019), pp. 62-82
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990691
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Inclusion of dietary evaluation in cardiovascular disease risk prediction models increases accuracy and reduces bias of the estimations
Panagiotakos, Domosthenes B.; Pitsavos, Christos; … - In: Risk analysis 29 (2009) 2, pp. 176-186
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864883
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An evaluation of financial analysts and nai͏̈ve methods in forecasting long-term earnings
Lacina, Michael; Lee, Buryung Brian; Xu, Zhaohui - In: Advances in business and management forecasting 8 (2011), pp. 77-101
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389669