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Following the 2007/09 and subsequent world food price shocks, a growing number of simulation studies predicted their implications on food security. Studies that only require pre-price-hike data and the specification of relevant price or income changes have been advocated as a potential tool to...
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constructed metric in a simple VAR framework I show that real effects are there, that shock to the volatile uncertainty causes … significant downturn/overshoot pattern, and that shock to the persistent component causes severe and prolonged damage …
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We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant...
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