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The formation of inflation expectations : microdata evidence from Japan
Kikuchi, Junichi; Nakazono, Yoshiyuki - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 55 (2023) 6, pp. 1609-1632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364327
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The formation of inflation expectations : micro-data evidence from Japan
Kikuchi, Junichi; Nakazono, Yoshiyuki - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296389
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Forecast combination, non-linear dynamics, and the macroeconomy
Gibbs, Christopher G. - In: Economic theory : official journal of the Society for … 63 (2017) 3, pp. 653-686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740026
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Deflation expectations
Banerjee, Ryan; Mehrotra, Aaron N. - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866085
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The misspecification of expectations in New Keynesian models : a DSGE-VAR approach
Cole, Stephen J.; Milani, Fabio - 2016
This paper tests the ability of popular New Keynesian models, which are traditionally used to study monetary policy and business cycles, to match the data regarding a key channel for monetary transmission: the dynamic interactions between macroeconomic variables and their corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541080
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The misspecification of expectations in New Keynesian models : a DSGE-VAR approach
Cole, Stephen J.; Milani, Fabio - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 23 (2019) 3, pp. 974-1007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126660
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The term structure of expectations
Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, Emanuel; … - 2021
Economic theory predicts that intertemporal decisions depend critically on expectations about future outcomes. Using … of expectations for output growth, inflation, and the policy rate. We show that a simple unobserved components model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660381
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Inattentive professional forecasters
Andrade, Philippe; Bihan, Hervé Le - In: Journal of monetary economics 60 (2013) 8, pp. 967-982
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253039
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A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement : confronting models of disagreement with survey data
Dovern, Jonas - In: European economic review : EER 80 (2015), pp. 16-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523942
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A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement : confronting models of disagreement with SPF data
Dovern, Jonas - 2014
This paper documents multivariate forecast disagreement among professional forecasters of the Euro area economy and discusses implications for models of heterogeneous expectation formation. Disagreement varies over time and is strongly counter-cyclical. Disagreement is positively correlated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424832