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People are often inaccurate in predicting task duration. The memory bias explanation holds that this error is due to … actual task duration. For Experiments 1 (paper-counting task) and 2 (essay-writing task), college students were supplied with … duration information about their previous performance on a similar task before predicting task duration. For Experiment 3 …
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physician input into such tools, in an empirical setting of predicting the surgery duration. Using data from a hospital, we …
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This paper studies the predictability of long-term unemployment (LTU) and analyzes its main determinants using rich administrative data in Sweden. Compared to using standard socio-demographic variables, the predictive power more than doubles when leveraging the rich data environment. The largest...
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