People are often inaccurate in predicting task duration. The memory bias explanation holds that this error is due to … actual task duration. For Experiments 1 (paper-counting task) and 2 (essay-writing task), college students were supplied with … duration information about their previous performance on a similar task before predicting task duration. For Experiment 3 …

physician input into such tools, in an empirical setting of predicting the surgery duration. Using data from a hospital, we …