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This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility … model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential ß-mixing as we show in …-memory duration models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise based on price durations of three major foreign exchange futures …
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develop a present value model to argue that a general increase in equity duration can explain these findings. As cash flows to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844161
This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility … model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential� beta-mixing as we show …-memory duration models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise based on price durations of three major foreign exchange futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975128
Persistence risk is an endogenous source of risk that arises when a rational agent learns about the length of business cycles. Persistence risk is positive during recessions and negative during expansions. This asymmetry, which solely results from learning about persistence, causes expected...
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