Temporal climate risk weighs heavily on many of the world's poor. Model-based climate forecasts could benefit such populations, provided recipients use forecast information to update climate expectations. We test whether pastoralists in southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya update their...

This note shows that combining external forecasts such as the Survey of Professional Fore casters can significantly increase DSGE forecast accuracy while preserving the interpretability in terms of structural shocks. Applied to pseudo real-time from 1997q2 onward, the canonical Smets and Wouters...

This paper has the core aim of investigating the usefulness of employing accounting information, macroeconomic variables and corporate governance measures to predict corporate failure in an Egyptian setting. The empirical study is directed to adapting a corporate failure prediction model applied...