This study evaluates potential migration flows to the European Union from its eastern neighbors and Croatia. We perform out-of-sample forecasts using an adaption of the model of Hatton (1995) to time series cross-sectional data about post-enlargement migration flows following the EU's 2004...

Does the onset of violent turmoil in an immigrant’s country of origin affect their honesty in economic exchange? We test this question using Egyptian cab drivers in NYC. Native country turmoil could increase demand for remittances or spur anger or anxiety, which could boost cheating, as both...

We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these...