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factors. A two-step estimation strategy is presented, which is based on principal components in differences in a first step …. The methods are applied to the estimation of paid and unpaid overtime work as well as flows on working-time accounts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309972
model framework uses a novel covariance matrix specification. Model estimation and real-time filtering of the latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437743
variables. This paper analyses the empirical consequences on factor estimation, in-sample predictions and out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013326908
version of the D6 Factor that improves upon the original model in several ways. While the original D6 based its estimation on … estimation period by a decade. These changes provide the updated model with substantially more information while reducing the … noise in the estimation. -- coincident index ; dynamic factor model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419466
some variable equations be of more importance during the estimation process. We derive the asymptotic properties of the … the weighted estimation method in a Monte Carlo study to investigate the effect of differen t choices for the weights in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391543
We develop a multivariate dynamic factor model that exploits euro area country-specific information on output and inflation for estimating an area-wide measure of the output gap. In the proposed multi-country framework we moreover allow for flexible stochastic volatility (SV) specifications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806537
momentum strategy. The estimation of this modeling and strategy approach can be done using an extended and modified version of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563065
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
We extend the literature on economic forecasting by constructing a mixed-frequency time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility (MF-TVP-SVVAR). The latter is able to cope with structural changes and can handle indicators sampled at different frequencies. We conduct a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962204
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the timevarying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426