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returns obtained by a given forecast model. An empirical application based on an optimal mean-variance bond portfolio problem … measures of forecast accuracy. We compute average net excess returns, standard deviation, and the Sharpe ratio of bond …
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What are the economic determinants of the level and volatility of the second moments of stock and bond returns? We …-1997 change in the stock-bond covariance. Also, the second moments of risk premium news explain most of the variance of the …
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This study finds that downside tail risk , estimated from Korean corporate bond market data, predicts the excess … predicting corporate bond returns. The return predictability of abnormal risk becomes more pronounced in the economic expansion …
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We investigate the predictive ability of financial and macroeconomic variables for German stock and bond returns using … and changes in short term interest rates are key predicators for stock returns. Additionally, for bond returns, exchanges …
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