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liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
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This study provides evidence of periodically collapsing bubbles in the British pound to US dollar exchange rate in the post-1973 period. We develop two- and three-state regime-switching models that relate the expected exchange rate return to the bubble size and to an additional explanatory...
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We analyze the relation between volatility and speculative activities in the crude oil futures market and provide short …-term forecasts accordingly. By incorporating trading volume and opening interest (speculative ratio) into the volatility dynamics, we … document the subtle interaction between the two measures of which the volatility-averse behavior of speculative activities …
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