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How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts : Cross-Country Evidence From Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth

Loungani, Prakash - 2000

This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and developing countries from 1989 to 1998. The questions addressed are (1) How do forecast errors differ across industrialized and developing countries? (2) How well do forecasters predict recessions?...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399809

There will be growth in the spring : how credible are forecasts of recovery?

Loungani, Prakash - In: World economics : a journal of current economic … 3 (2002) 1, pp. 1-6

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001661076

How accurate are private sector forecasts? : Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth

Loungani, Prakash - In: International journal of forecasting 17 (2001) 3, pp. 419-432

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001604364

How accurate are private sector forecasts? : Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth

Loungani, Prakash - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001503129

How clear is the crystal ball? : Reflections on the accuracy of growth forecasts

Loungani, Prakash - In: World economics : a journal of current economic … 2 (2001) 1, pp. 1-8

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001562629

Is China fudging its figures? : evidence from trading partner data

Fernald, John G.; Hsu, Eric; Spiegel, Mark - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505062

Is China fudging its figures? : evidence from trading partner data

Fernald, John G.; Hsu, Eric; Spiegel, Mark - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387850

Reprint: is China fudging its GDP figures? : evidence from trading partner data

Fernald, John G.; Hsu, Eric; Spiegel, Mark - In: Journal of international money and finance 114 (2021), pp. 1-16

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888515

Comment on "Is China fudging its GDP figures? : evidence from trading partner data"

Hsieh, Chang-tai - In: Journal of international money and finance 114 (2021), pp. 1-2

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888521

Is China Fudging its Figures? Evidence from Trading Partner Data

Fernald, John G. - 2016

How reliable are China's GDP and other data? We address this question by using trading partner exports to China as an independent measure of its economic activity from 2000–2014. We find that the information content of Chinese GDP improves markedly after 2008.We also consider a number of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003075