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In this study, we empirically attempt to investigate output growth forecasts as a result of dynamic interplay between money supplies and output growths of Southern African Common Monetary Area (SACMA) countries using Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). In general, the results show that the...
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Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
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uncertainty: such rules respond to the one-year ahead inflation forecast and to the current output gap, and incorporate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320751
This paper shows that for five small commodity-exporting countries that have adopted inflation targeting monetary … policies, world commodity price aggregates have predictive power for their CPI and PPI inflation, particularly once possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120014
In this paper, we examine the ability of Fisher effect to describe the subjective behaviour of monetary policy responses for nations constrained by global factors. We developed and estimated a simple DSGE model for appraising the consequence of an integrated financial market predictor on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549169
Producing and revealing inflation forecasts is believed to be the best way of implementing a forward-looking monetary … policy. The article focuses on inflation forecast targeting (IFT) at the Czech National Bank (CNB) in terms of its efficiency … in shaping consumers' inflation expectations. The goal of the study is to verify accuracy of the inflation forecasts, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002259
This paper reinvestigates the performance of trimmed-mean inflation measures some 20 years since their inception … measures in forecasting headline inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251647
Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the … credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This … study examined the predictive ability of business expectations survey (BES) inflation index on movements of inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473533