Showing 1 - 10 of 1,180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012004721
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning … portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
Using a structural model of default, we construct a measure of systemic default defined as the probability that many firms default at the same time. We account for correlations in defaults between firms through exposures to common shocks. The systemic default measure spikes during recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810905
Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied volatilities of at-the-money call and put equity options, is significantly and positively related to future stock market returns at daily, weekly, monthly, to semiannual horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897782
We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER …) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it …-specification. Moreover, we show that various option-implied measures proxy CFER, thus providing a theoretical explanation for their ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932555
significance from the no-arbitrage prices and bounds implied by the variance swap market. The paper examines these pricing errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of … introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of historical pricing patterns, we use regression analysis to establish the … for the inappropriateness of pricing models that do not sufficiently account for factors such as risk appetite and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003866554
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option … probability of the market crashes, beyond and above other option-implied variables. Stock-specific tail loss measure predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums in foreign exchange markets. We find significantly negative risk premiums when realized variance is computed from intraday data with low frequency. As a likely consequence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031