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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507037
This chapter reviews the panel data forecasting literature. Starting with simple forecasts based on fixed and random … well as spatial autoregressive and moving average type disturbances. These forecasting methods are then studied in the … context of seemingly unrelated regressions. We highlight several forecasting empirical applications using panel data, as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025230
We develop novel forecasting methods for panel data with heterogeneous parameters and examine them together with … forecasting methods can perform better than forecasts based on individual estimates and demonstrate how gains in predictive … stock returns, we show that no single forecasting approach dominates uniformly. However, forecast combination and shrinkage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176894
better quality than PPP. The MB approach has the most appealing economic interpretation, but performs poorly in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139745
This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411883
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511584
The quasi-simplex model makes use of at least three repeated measures of the same variable to estimate its reliability. The model has rather strict assumptions about how various parameters in the model are related to each other. Previous studies have outlined how several of the assumptions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251137
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735
predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373811