projections for inflation, unemployment, and the Fed's policy rate-are themselves predictable by information publicly available at …

The main aim of this paper is to provide forecast intervals for inflation and unemployment rate in Romania, bringing …

The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose to 5 … unless corrected with restrictive monetary policies. Thus, the inflation shock since COVID-19 is not transitory, but it is … may be attributed to a failure to incorporate a unique macroeconomic shock to unemployment during the pandemic. We propose …

revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general …-to-specific testing strategy reveals a recursive structure where only the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates are directly …