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This study draws on machine learning as a means to causal inference for econometric investigation. We utilize the concept of transfer entropy to examine the relationship between the US National Association of Home Builders Index and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Home Price...
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This paper explores the properties of using a generalized additive model with embedded variable selection for the prediction of bankruptcy. The main purpose is to explore an innovative way to close the gap between interpretation and prediction that has prevented widespread use of methods based...
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non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth …
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