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This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
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-- References -- Further Reading -- Chapter 4: Misspecification in an Asymmetrically Dependent World: Implications for Volatility …
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"Asymmetric Dependence (hereafter, AD) is usually thought of as a cross-sectional phenomenon. Andrew Patton describes AD as "stock returns appear to be more highly correlated during market downturns than during market upturns." (Patton, 2004) Thus at a point in time when the market return is...
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VaR forecasts of a set of conditional volatility models. This risk management strategy is GFC-robust in the sense that …
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