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Predicting the path of technological innovation : SAW vs. Moore, Bass, Gompertz, and Kryder
Sood, Ashish; James, Gareth M.; Tellis, Gerard J.; Zhu, Ji - In: Marketing science 31 (2012) 6, pp. 964-979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702511
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Development, Management and Forecasting in a Green Innovative Economy, Based on the Integral Dynamics Model in the Conditions of ‘Industry – 4.0’
Ramazanov, Sultan - 2020
In modern conditions of instability, systematic crises and global transformations the problem of developing methods and technologies for analysis, modeling, management, forecasting and decision making for stable development of viable socioeconomic systems has become the most important. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833432
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Innovation Search Strategy and Predictable Returns
Fitzgerald, Tristan - 2019
Because of the intangible and highly uncertain nature of innovation, investors may have difficulty processing … information associated with a firm's innovation search strategy. Due to cognitive and strategic biases, investors are likely to …-term earnings expectations. The stock market also seems unable to accurately incorporate information about a firm's innovation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865315
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The Idea Multiplier : An Innovation in Predicting Productivity
Davis, Joseph H. - 2020
The persistent downturn in productivity growth during the past two decades has cast doubts on global economic prospects. Frequently cited causes include a dearth of productivity-enhancing ideas, an aging population, and a shift to service-based economies. While we acknowledge the role each of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822912
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Innovate or die : corporate innovation and bankruptcy forecasts
Bai, Qing; Tian, Shaonan - In: Journal of empirical finance 59 (2020), pp. 88-108
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437937
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Peculiarities of forecasting competitiveness of innovations for industrial enterprises
Sekerin, V. D.; Burlakov, Vyacheslav Viktorovich; … - In: International journal of economics and financial issues … 5 (2015) 3, pp. 54-60
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691602
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Technological Interdependencies Predict Innovation Dynamics
Pichler, Anton; Lafond, Francois; Farmer, J. Doyne - 2020
We propose a simple model where the innovation rate of a technological domain depends on the innovation rate of the … predictability of innovation rates can be boosted substantially when network effects are taken into account. In the case where a … technology's neighbourhood further innovation rates are known, the average predictability gain is 28% compared to simpler time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101485
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Forecasting technological progress potential based on the complexity of product knowledge
Dong, Andy; Sarkar, Somwrita - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 90 (2015) 2, pp. 599-610
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011318504
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Method for forecasting DI based on triz technology system evolution theory
Sun, Jianguang; Tan, Runhua - In: International journal of innovation and technology … 9 (2012) 2, pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582621
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Predicting the Path of Technological Innovation : SAW Versus Moore, Bass, Gompertz, and Kryder
Sood, Ashish; James, Gareth; Tellis, Gerard J.; Zhu, Ji - 2012
. We propose a model, Step And Wait (SAW), for predicting the path of technological innovation and compare its performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014040425