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alternative models of constant and time-varying volatility based on the accuracy of point and density forecasts of real oil prices … models with respectively, constant volatility and two forms of time-varying volatility: GARCH and stochastic volatility. In … addition to the standard time-varying models, more flexible models with volatility in mean and moving average innovations are …
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This paper examines the effect of different dimensions of uncertainty on expectations of WTI crude oil futures momentum traders at a daily level. We consider two concepts of uncertainty and two momentum trading indicators based on technical analysis. In addition, we also use wavelet techniques...
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