The study aims at simulating and forecasting a company's stock returns and prices by a fundamentalist analysis process based on a Vector Error Correction with Exogenous Variables (VECX) econometric model. To achieve this, we selected relevant fundamentalist indicators and specified a model...

The principal objective of this research study was to investigate the impact of the Great Economic Recession of 2008 on national banks' equity investment valuations and create an empirical model for predicting national banks' financial failure in the United States. The focal period of the study...

Financial indicators are the most used variables in measuring the business performance of companies, signaling about the financial position, comprehensive income, and other significant reporting aspects. In a competitive environment, the performance measurement model allows performing...

Academics and practitioners have long recognized the importance of a firm’s industry membership in explaining its financial performance. Yet, contrary to conventional wisdom, recent research shows that industry-specific profitability forecasting models are not better than economy-wide models....

We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i.e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast...

Company bankruptcies are an inseparable element of market economy. We may observe the tendency to view bankruptcy as a problem of weak and usually small entities facing problems when trying to meet the challenge posed by strong competition. Big companies, however, also fall, and their bankruptcy...

We review 187 research papers of 37 financial analysts in Russian capital market on 2000-2010 time horizons with question: 'How analysts choose discount factor in DCF construction for calculation fair market value'. 96% of the analysts that justify the DCF construction on Russian capital market...

In this paper we develop a sales forecasting model for a small sized business unit focused on exports. Through a choice of internal explanatory variables in the organization we develop an econometric sales forecasting method, and compare its outputs with simpler univariate forecasting techniques...

The aim of this paper is to present corporate default prediction models constructed in the specific market conditions that prevail in the Republic of Serbia, and to compare their prediction accuracy with the most frequently used model – Altman's Z-score. Many authors have constructed models...

The main objective of this study is the development of the model for predicting illiquidity, i.e. identification of financial indicators on the basis of which one can predict illiquidity. The research focus is on large companies in the Republic of Serbia. Bearing in mind the results of previous...