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This study evaluates the in-sample and out-of-sample RMB exchange rate forecasting with a predictor of CNH-CNY pricing differential. Despite significant evidence of in-sample fit of conditional models at short horizons, we find that RMB exchange rate forecasts based on CNH-CNY spreads do not...
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This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve … forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity … to build times-series components that capture the joint dynamics of the firm-level productivity and size distributions …
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