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Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their...
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jump-robust two time scale covariance estimator of Boudt and Zhang (2013)such that the estimated matrix is positive … definite. Using this approach we can disentangle the estimates of the integrated co-volatility matrix and jump variations from …
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